基于数据建模的火灾数据分析

The Analysis on the Fire Data Based on the Date Modeling

通过定性研究火灾发展趋势,对2004-2008年按月和按小时火灾统计数据建立微分方程模型,研究按月和按小时火灾发展趋势,计算火灾隐患存在的高危时间段,探讨火灾发生的季节性、时辰性规律,为认识和掌握火灾发展趋势,制定减灾防灾措施提供科学的参考依据。

With qualitative research on the development tendency of the fire,the model of the differential equation is set to the statistical data of fire between 2004 to 2008,based on months and hours respectively,to make out the trend of the fire,to calculate the critical time period of the hidden danger,and probe into the season and time pattern of the fire,in order to provide scientific reference for working out measures on fire reduction and prevention.