摘要
目的评估2015年8月国内外突发公共卫生事件及需要关注传染病的风险。方法根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(直辖市、自治区)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果根据近期传染病和突发公共卫生事件监测数据,结合既往流行特点分析,预计8月全国总报告事件数和病例数仍处于低水平。鉴于韩国中东呼吸综合征(MERS)疫情基本结束,MERS由韩国输入我国的风险极低,从中东地区输入我国的风险持续存在,但发生大规模扩散的可能性极低。目前正值盛夏季节,且周边国家登革热疫情形势严峻,因此我国部分省份登革热等虫媒传染病的流行风险增加,同时伤寒副伤寒等肠道传染病的暴发疫情也会逐渐增多。此外,高温中暑和食物中毒事件也相对较多。结论预计2015年8月全国总报告事件数和病例数仍处于低水平;需重点关注登革热、伤寒副伤寒、MERS、高温中暑和食物中毒对我国公共卫生的影响。
Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies and communicable diseases concerned in the mainland of China in August 2015. Methods An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels,and the experts of all the provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this video conference.Results According to the analysis of recent and previous surveillance data of public health emergencies and communicable diseases,it is predicted that the overall numbers of public health emergencies and communicable disease cases would be still at lower level in August. The risk of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome（ MERS） from South Korea is very low,however the risk of MERS from the Middle East still exist,but the possibility of large scale spread is very low. Because it is summer and dengue fever epidemics are serious in neighboring countries,the risks of dengue fever and other insect- borne communicable disease outbreaks would increase in some provinces in China. As well as the risks of enteric infectious disease outbreaks,such as typhoid fever / paratyphoid fever. Besides,more heatstroke and food poisoning would occur. Conclusion It is predicted that the numbers of public health emergencies and communicable disease cases would be lower in August in China. It is necessary to pay close attention to the prevention and control of dengue fever,typhoid fever / paratyphoid fever,MERS,heatstroke and food poisoning.
出处
《疾病监测》
CAS
2015年第8期614-617,共4页
Disease Surveillance
