财政收入与居民收入实证检验下的民主辨析

Analysis on Democracy under the Empirical Test of Fiscal Revenue and Resident Income

在一定时期社会财富总量既定的前提下,财政收入与居民收入分配结果具有明显的互为因果关系。若把这种因果关系与未来的民主建设联系起来,则可得到三条不同的民主发展道路,即若财政收入影响居民收入更多,未来民主建设会倾向于自上而下的程序民主建设;若居民收入影响财政收入更多,未来民主建设会倾向于自下而上的自发民主建设;若两者是互为因果关系,未来民主建设会走向自上而下与自下而上相结合的混合模式。故可利用格兰杰因果关系检验,对自2000年以来我国财政收入与居民收入间的因果关系进行实证分析,进而从财政角度诠释我国未来的民主建设道路与建设措施,以期实现我国社会经济与民主政治的共同发展。

Under the total social wealth, in a certain periol of time, fiscal revenue and resident income has obvious causal relationship. If the relationship links to the democratic construction in future, we can get three different democratic development paths. The first path is that the future democratic construction tends to top-down procedural democracy under fiscal revenue effecting more resident income; the second path is that the future democratic construction tends to bottom-up spontaneous democracy under resident income effecting more fiscal revenue~ the third path is that the future democratic construction tends to the top-down and bottom-up combination of mixed mode under reciprocal causation between fiscal revenue and resident income. So, we can use Granger causality test for the relationship between fiscal revenue and resi- dent income in our country since 2000, and decipher the future democratic construction and constructive measures in our country from the fiscal point of view, in order to realize the common development of our social economy and democratic politics.