功率预测技术在光伏发电中的应用研究

Application Research Review of Power Prediction Technology in Photovoltaic Power Generation

综合对比了国外投运的光伏发电功率预测系统软件,简要叙述了国内的光伏功率预测技术发展现状;根据现有的光伏功率预测方法,分别按照预测时间尺度、预测方式、预测原理和预测数学模型对光伏发电功率预测方法进行了详细分类;总结了影响光伏发电功率预测精度的因素;最后根据国内外学者的研究,绘制出光伏并网系统与新型光伏发电功率预测组件结构图。新型光伏发电功率预测系统对于指导现代化光伏发电功率预测系统的实现具有普遍意义。

This paper aimed at photovoltaic power prediction software system for foreign operation to make a comprehensive comparison table and then. Described the current situation of the development of photovoltaic power prediction technology of China. According to the existing prediction methods of photovohaic power,in accordance with the scale of prediction method,Prediction principle and model, the paper did a detailed classification of photovohaic power prediction respectively. Some factors affecting the photovohaic power prediction accuracy were summarized. Finally ,based on the research scholars of excellence at home and abroad, the grid-connected photovohaic system and the new photovoltaic power prediction module structure diagram were drawn, which is of universal significance to guide modern photovoltaie power prediction.