需求降低导致供大于求时供应链生产优化研究

Production Optimization under Oversupply

针对市场在不可预测情况下,市场需求降低导致产成品供大于求时供应链生产优化的问题,基于供应链的视角,以追求供应链期望总成本最小为目标,创新利用停产率建立生产优化目标规划模型;通过求解分析,得出了供应链停产率决策边界曲线的定义和经济意义,并以此为基础,引入停产成本系数为新的判断指标,来确定生产最优化方案,通过算例对模型进行了仿真验证。

The production optimization problem on supply chain was studied under oversupply market due to falling demand. Based on the perspective of the supply chain, in pursuit of minimizing expected total cost of supply chain as the objective, the production optimization goal-programming model was established by taking advantage of unproductive rate. Through solving and analysis, the definition and the economic signification of supply chain unproductive rate decision boundary curve were given. On this basis of work, the unproductive cost was introduced as the decision criterion to determine the optimal production plan. An ex-ample was given to test, simulate and illustrate the above model.