基于格兰杰因果分析的山东省碳排放量与经济增长的关系

The Relationship between the Carbon Emission Volume and Economic Growth in Shandong Based on Granger Causality Analysis

经济增长与碳排放量之间的关系是低碳经济的重要研究领域之一。基于《山东省统计年鉴》1996—2012年的数据,运用Eviews软件研究山东省生产总值与碳排放量之间的关系,对其进行单位根检验、协整检验与格兰杰因果检验分析。研究结果表明,碳排放量的增长不会推动经济增长,但经济增长会导致碳排放量的增加。

The relationship between economic growth and carbon emission volume is one of the primary research area in low-carbon economy. Here will do some research on the GDP and carbon emission volume in Shandong by employing Eviews software based on the data from the Statistic Yearbook of Shandong Province dated from 1996 to 2012. The analysis thereto will through unit root test, co-integration test and Granger causality. The increase of carbon emission will not promote the growth of economy, but, on the contrary, the growth of economy will lead to the increase of carbon emission.