中国-东盟双边贸易流量与贸易潜力的实证研究被引量：3

Empirical Study on Bilateral Trade Flows and Trade Potential between China and ASEAN

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摘要基于引力模型,对中国与东盟双边贸易流量与贸易潜力进行实证研究。研究发现:经济增长、2002年CAFTA的建立以及双边经济差距均能促进双边贸易;距离及东盟对华投资影响中国出口东盟,但却不影响东盟出口中国。中国对东盟各国的贸易潜力存在差异,中国需要制定相应措施进一步扩大双边贸易潜力:加快经济发展步伐;继续深入加强双边经贸合作;调整产业结构,增强双边贸易互补性,减少双边贸易竞争;加强相互直接投资。 In this paper, based on the gravity model, we empirically studied the bflateraltrade flows and potential between China and ASEAN. The study found： the economic growth, the setting-up of China ASEAN Free Trade Area in 2002 and the bilateral economic disparities would help to promote the bilateral trade; the distance and the ASEAN investment in China affected the export from China to ASEAN, but they do not affect the ex- port from ASEAN to China. Due to the potential differences in China-ASEAN trade, China needed to formulate the corresponding measures to fur- ther expand the bilateral trade potential, such as accelerating the pace of economic development, further strengthening the bilateral economic and trade cooperation, adjusting the industrial structure, strengthening the bilateral trade complementary, reducing border trade competitions and strengthening mutual direct investments.

作者尹叶青刘志雄尹湘源

机构地区广西民族大学商学院华中科技大学自动化学院

出处《物流技术》 2015年第16期118-122,共5页 Logistics Technology

基金 2013年广西哲学社会科学规划项目"中国-东盟自贸区网络贸易信用体系构建研究"(13DGL014)

关键词贸易潜力贸易流量引力模型 trade potential trade flow gravity model

分类号 F752.7 [经济管理—国际贸易]

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