费德勒竞技状态变化趋势分析

Analysis on the Development Trend of the Competitive State of Federer

通过ATP官方网站提供的比赛技术统计,对2014年四大满贯赛事中费德勒与对手的技术进行统计分析,结合费德勒职业生涯中参加大满贯赛事的技战术特点的变化规律,探讨费德勒竞技状态的变化趋势。结论:费德勒正处于竞技状态下滑后的"反弹期",但其采用的加快比赛节奏,抢点出击,速战速决是其结合自己特点在"反弹期"开始的有效战术。背部伤病是影响费德勒竞技状态继续反弹的主要因素,解决伤病困扰,采用新战术的费德勒仍然是当今男子职业网坛非常有竞争力的选手。

This project used statistical methods to make a comparative study of the tactics employed by the 2014 season grand slam Federer and his rivals, according to the change of Federer＇s competitive state and the tactical characteristics, discussion on the development trend of Federer＇s competitive state. The conclusion ： Federer had gone down the peak of the competitive state, but was in a rebound. To speed up the rhythm of the game, Fight a quick battle to force a quick decision, is the effective tactics for Federer now. The back injury is the main factor that influences the Federer＇s competitive state to continue to rebound. If solve the problem of injury and adopt new tactics, Federer is still a very competitive player.