欠发达民族地区金融发展与城镇化关系的实证研究——以渝东南为例

Empirical Research on the Relationship between Financial Development and Urbanization in Underdeveloped Minority Areas: Taking Southeast Chongqing as an Example

运用ADF平稳性检验、Johansen协整检验、Granger因果检验及方差分解,对2000-2013年渝东南民族地区城镇化和金融发展之间的关系进行实证研究,结论表明:渝东南民族地区城镇化和金融发展存在一种长期稳定的关系,二者互为因果,相互促进;金融发展对城镇化进程的影响要大于城镇化进程对金融发展的影响。最后提出政策建议,以期对欠发达民族地区金融发展及城镇化建设有一定的借鉴意义。

Using ADF（Augmented Dickey-Fuller） stationary test, Johansen co-integration test, Granger casualty test and variance decomposition, this paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between urbanization and financial development in the minority areas of Southeast Chongqing from 2000 to 2013 and comes to the following conclusion： there exists a long-term stable relationship between urbanization and financial development in the minority areas of Southeast Chongqing and the two influence each other as well as promote each other; the financial development＇s influence on urbanization is higher. At last the paper proposes some policies, hoping to provide certain reference to the financial development and urbanization construction in the underdeveloped minority areas.