山西省水资源约束下的产业结构分析

Industrial structure under constraint of water resources in Shanxi Province

利用相关分析理论、灰色系统理论研究产业结构与其用水量之间的定量关系,同时得出如下结论:在水资源约束下,应积极稳步推进第二产业发展,但需淘汰和优化以能源产业为主的高耗水型重工业结构;大力推进第三产业的发展;调整农业结构,限制或适当压缩第一产业的发展,是山西省产业结构与水资源协调发展的方向。

The correlation analysis and grey system theory are employed to systematically study the quantitative relationship between industrial structure and water consumption. The following conclusions are drawn:( 1) Under the constraint of water resources,the development of the secondary industry should be actively and steadily promoted,and the heavy industry structure with high water consumption based on energy industries should be eliminated and optimized.( 2)The tertiary industry should be vigorously developed.( 3) The adjustment of agricultural structure and the restriction or suitable reduction of the development scale of the primary industry are the direction of the coordinated development of industrial structure and water resources in Shanxi Province.