摘要
2015年1—6月,中国饲料市场总体相对疲软,育肥猪、肉鸡和蛋鸡配合饲料的价格均持续下跌。饲料主要原料演绎出不同的市场走向,豆粕价格继续下跌,玉米价格止跌反弹,鱼粉价格高位下行。展望饲料市场后期走势,预计豆粕、鱼粉价格将继续延续下跌趋势,玉米受临储政策支撑,价格将维持稳定,高粱和大麦等替代品在饲料中的应用将增加;在饲料成本下降、养殖利润有所回升的情况下,国内养殖业产能逐步调整到位,饲料产品市场价格预计将止跌趋稳。
China＇s feed market showed a weak trend in the first half of 2015, and the prices of main formula feed for fattening pig, broiler chicken and layer went down continuously. The raw materials of main feed showed different trends, to be specific, soybean meal price continued droping, maize price rebounded and fish meal price went down from a high level. Looking forward to the future, the prices of soybean meal and fish meal will keep the decreasing trend, and maize price will maintain at a certain level because of the support of temporary storage policy. Sorghum and barley taking place of maize as raw material will become more common. As the feed cost decreasing and breeding profit rising, the capacity of domestic breeding industry will adjust to a proper level, and the prices of feed products will stop dropping to keep stable.
出处
《农业展望》
2015年第8期27-31,共5页
Agricultural Outlook
基金
中国农业科学院科技创新工程(CAAS-ASTIP-201X-AⅡ-01)
农业部市场信息监测统计
关键词
饲料
市场价格
影响因素
预测
feed
market price
influencing factor
prospect
