摘要
研究使用2001—2013年的数据测算了我国制成品和服务贸易出口的技术复杂度,并对二者的经济增长效应进行实证比较研究。结果显示,我国制成品出口技术复杂度、服务贸易出口技术复杂度和经济增长之间在研究期内存在稳定的均衡关系,且二者都显示出正向的经济增长效应;在反应程度上,我国经济增长对制成品出口技术复杂度的提升反应较强;在贡献度上,我国服务贸易出口技术复杂度的提高对经济增长在中长期内显露出更大、更平稳、更持久的贡献;在整体力度上,我国制成品与服务贸易出口技术复杂度的经济增长效应仍处于偏低水平。
This paper, using data of 2001--2013, firstly calculates the technological sophistication of China＇s finished product and service exports, then makes a comparative and empirical study of their economic growth effects. The results are as follows： in general, there is a stable equilibrium relationship among China＇s economic growth, technological sophistication of China＇s finished product and technological sophistication of China＇s service export, and the latter two show positive effects on China＇s economic growth; as for the response degree, China＇s economic growth has a more intense response to the technological sophistication of finished product export; as to the contributions to GDP, technological sophistication of China＇s service export makes bigger, more stable and more lasting contributions to the economic growth; on the overall strength, economic growth effect of technological sophistication of finished product and service export manifest a low level.
出处
《科技与经济》
2015年第5期66-70,共5页
Science & Technology and Economy
基金
浙江省哲学社会科学规划课题--"浙江服务贸易出口技术复杂度变迁及提升路径研究"(项目编号:15NDJC239YB
项目负责人:邵建春)成果之一
浙江省软科学研究计划项目--"浙江民营企业对外文化贸易研究"(项目编号:2013C25073
项目负责人:赵玻)成果之一
关键词
出口技术复杂度
经济增长效应
VAR模型
export technological sophistication
economic growth effect
VAR model
