基于投影寻踪的企业安全生产应急管理有效性评价研究

Effectiveness evaluation research of enterprise safety emergency management based on projection pursuit

本文在探讨企业在安全生产应急管理中的成本投入与安全生产应急损失的基础上,构建应急管理有效性评价指标体系,选取黑龙江省12家煤电化企业为样本,运用投影寻踪模型对煤电化企业安全生产应急管理有效性进行综合评价。研究显示目前煤电化企业安全生产应急管理有效性不足的主要原因是应急管理主动投入和被动投入的成本分配比例不合理以及安全事故损失影响的显著性不同,进而提出充分利用信息反馈机制、加强决策责任机制、健全应急恢复重建机制和优化决策执行方式与流程等措施构建适应煤电化企业安全生产应急决策机制是保障和促进应急管理有效性的有效途径。

This paper constructs emergency management effectiveness（EME） evaluation index system, based on discussion of cost investment and accident loss for enterprises, and selects 12 companies in coal, electricity and chemical sectors in Heilongjiang Province as samples,and performs comprehensive evaluation for SPEM effectiveness for those enterprises using Projection Pursuit（PP）. Results show that the main reason of lack of EME is the improper distribution ratio between the active and passive investment cost,as well as significant difference of the safety accident loss effect. The paper argues that the effective way of guarding and promoting EME is to build safety production emergency decision-making mechanism which is suitable for companies, and detailed measures consist of using the information feedback mechanism sufficiently, strengthening decision-making responsibility mechanism, perfecting emergency recovery- rebuilding mechanism,and optimizing means and process of decision-performing.