摘要
出口作为中国经济增长的驱动力早已成为学者的共识,出口转型升级是中国出口持续发展的重要途径,出口贸易方式在一定程度上反映了中国出口发展潜力。通过对1998-2013年中国27个省际数据的分析,得出了出口贸易方式与区域经济增长之间的关系。分析表明:(1)总体来说,出口促进经济增长,不同贸易方式的作用存在差别。一般贸易对于经济增长的影响显著于加工贸易,中国经济增长已经不再主要依赖于加工贸易,有一定自主性,出口贸易结构优化潜力较大;(2)出口对于地区的经济增长促进作用,按东中西递减。基于理论和实证的分析,本文提出政府在东部地区应制定中长期战略,鼓励加工贸易转型升级;在中西部地区出台一系列鼓励出口的优惠政策,尤其是在丝绸之路经济带建设的带动下,为其建设发展注入强劲动力。
It is acknowledged that export acted as one of the most effective motivations for economic growth. To transform and update the way of export is an essential method to keep the vitality of China＇ s export. To some ex- tent, the export trade way reflects the development potential of export. It is revealed by the research that： （1） Generally speaking, export has positive effect on economic growth, but effects are varied among different ways. Compared with processing trade, general trade showed much more contribution on economic growth, which revealed the potential of structure optimization. （2） Export contribution gives the best performance in east of China, the middle followed and the west is lowest. We suggest that government should encourage the transition of processing trade and give more beneficial policies in west area. Combined with the construction of Silk Road economic belt, the middle and west area will surely have more motive force of development.
出处
《科技与管理》
2015年第4期83-88,共6页
Science-Technology and Management
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目(13AJY011)
