外商直接投资对浙江省产业结构的影响研究

Study on the impact of foreign direct investment to Zhejiang province industrial structure

浙江省作为中国的外资外贸大省,接纳外商直接投资的能力较强,且身处工业化后期,正在进行产业结构升级。旨在研究外商直接投资对浙江省产业结构升级的影响比较分析,通过对外商直接投资在理论上对产业结构影响的途径分析,对二者的现状和趋势进行研究,同时,建立VAR模型,经过相关检验,得出结论:一、产业结构对外商直接投资的影响并不显著,并且其所作用的影响存在时滞。二、外商直接投资与对外贸易对产业结构的影响显著,作用期间较长,且较为平稳。最后,依据上述外商直接投资对浙江产业结构升级的理论与实证分析,提出促进浙江产业结构升级的对策建议。

Zhejiang province, one of the provinces which have the biggest trade scale, owns the strong power to ab- sorb foreign direct investment. Now, Zhejiang is in the late stage of industrialization, facing the upgrading of the structure of industry. Based on the concerned theories and study on the relationship between foreign direct invest- ment and industrial structure, this essay sets the VAR model, conducts the relative tests, gets the following conclu- sions： First, the effect of industrial structure to the foreign trade and foreign direct investment is not prominent. Second, the impacts of foreign direct investment to industrial structure are outstanding, and the effective time is long. Finally, this essay produces the suggestion on optimizing industrial structure.