基于Logistic-ISM模型的失地农民创业意向影响机理研究

Study on the Influence Mechanism of Land-lost Peasants' Entrepreneurial Intention Based on Logistic-ISM Model

本文通过对失地农民创业意向的实地调查,在失地农民创业意向理论分析基础上,采用Logistic回归分析方法,确定失地农民创业意向的关键影响因素;采用ISM分析方法,挖掘各影响因素之间的逻辑结构关系,并构建了具有相互关联、层次清晰的影响因素链,以厘清失地农民创业意向影响的内在机理,并提出了引导失地农民创业的政策建议。研究结果表明,失地农民创业意向受性别、成就动机、征地区位、创业行为等5个因素的显著影响。这些因素在整个系统中所处层次不同,且具有既相互独立又相互联系的关系。其中,创业行为是表层直接影响因素;创新导向是中间层间接影响因素;性别、成就动机和征地区位是深层根源影响因素。研究结果可为解决失地农民就业及可持续生计问题提供决策参考。

This paper builds a theoretical framework by field survey of land-lost peasants＇ entrepreneurship to discuss the key factors of land-lost peasants＇ entrepreneurship intention by using Logistic regression analysis method. The logic structural relationships between various factors are mined by using ISM model, and the factors chain with interrelated and clear hierarchy is built in order to clarify the internal mechanism of land-lost peasants＇ entrepreneurship intention. Moreover, the policy rec- ommendations of guiding land-lost peasants＇ entrepreneurship are proposed in this paper. The results show that the entrepre- neurship intention of land-lost peasants is significantly influenced by five factors including gender, achievement motivation, in- novation-oriented, expropriated bit and entrepreneurial behavior. These factors are at different levels and are interdependent and interrelated. Specifically, entrepreneurial behavior is a direct surface factors, innovation-oriented is an indirect intermediate layer factors, and gender, achievement motivation and expropriated bit are the deep roots factors. The results could provide a reference for solving the land-lost peasants＇ employment and sustainable livelihood.