我国海洋经济增长的区域分异及其空间相关性

Regional Difference in and its Spatial Correlation of the China Marine Economic Growth

基于1996—2012年我国11个沿海省份的相关数据,利用标准差、变异系数和泰尔指数分析了我国海洋经济增长的区域分异情况。结果表明,从差异大小和变化幅度来看,长三角地区远大于环渤海、珠三角地区;海洋经济增长的区域差异符合威廉姆逊的倒"U"形理论,且这种区域差异主要表现在各区域内省级行政单位上。此外,从Moran I检验结果可以看出,我国沿海地区海洋经济增长相对来说存在比较明显的空间负相关性。最后就协调发展海洋经济给出了三点建议。

Based on the marine economy data from 1996 to 2012 of the 11 coastalprovinces, this paper used standard deviation, variation coefficient and Theil index toanalyze the regional difference in the marine economy growth in China. The results showedthat, according to the differences in size and magnitude of change, the Yangtze Delta ismuch larger than the Bohai Rim and the Pearl River Delta; the imbalance of regionalmarine economy growth is in correspondence with Williamson＇s Inverted-U Theory, and theimbalance mainly stems from the differences among provinces. Moreover, Moran I testresults showed that there is relatively obvious spatial negative correlation in the marineeconomic growth of coastal areas. Finally, this paper proposed relevant policies on thecoordinated development of marine economy.