省域经济发展与生态环境时空迁移趋势及特征研究——基于省际面板数据

Study on the Temporal Spatial Migration Trends and Characteristics of Provincial Economic Development and Ecological Environment:Based on Provincial Panel Data in China

【目的】从省域层面出发,基于经济发展与环境发展这两维度展开研究。【方法】利用物理重心测度原理及省域空间权重矩阵,分别测度2007-2012年全国经济重心和环境重心。【结果】1从区域发展不平衡性看,2007年以来,我国区域经济发展的非均衡性大于生态环境的非均衡性,而且东西部经济差异大于南北差异。2从空间格局演变方面看,2007年以来经济重心逐步向西迁移,西部经济发展速度快于东部,而环境重心则逐步向南迁移,南方地区环境水平有较大提高。3从空间相关性看,省域经济发展水平的空间相关性并不如GDP测度的显著,省域生态环境水平存在显著的空间关联性。【结论】为了促进区域经济与环境的协调发展,沿海发达地区应该利用前期经济发展积累加大生态环境发展投入力度,促进生态环境发展的资本、技术和人才的集聚,形成生态化的"溢出效应"。中西部不发达地区可以借鉴发达地区的发展经验,主动吸纳发达地区先进管理体系、引进具有较强技术溢出效应、产业关联度强的项目促进地区产业结构优化,以环境基础设施的完善,生态环境水平的提高为"软实力"来推动地区综合发展水平的提高。

【Objective】Based on provincial level,the paper is studied in two dimensions：economic development and environmental development.【Method】Using the measurement principle of physical gravity center and provincial spatial weight matrix,the national economic center and environment center in 2007-2012 were measured respectively.【Results】The study found that：1In the regional development imbalance,since 2007,the non-equilibrium of ecological environment is more obvious than the non-equilibrium of regional economy development,and the economic difference between North and South is larger than the difference between East and West.2 According to the evolution of spatial pattern,since 2007,the economic center has been gradually migrated westward,the economic developing speed of the West is faster than the East,while the environmental center gradually migrated to the south,the environment level of the southern area has greatly improved.3 From the spatial correlation,the spatial correlation of the provincial economic development is not as significant as the GDP measurement,while the space-correlation in provincial ecological environment level is significant.【Conclusion】In order to promote the coordi-nated development of regional economy and environment,the developed coastal areas should make use of the economic achievements which were accumulated earlier to increase investment in the development of ecological environment,promote the concentration of capital,technology and talent,and get the ecological ＂ spillover effect.＂ The underdeveloped central and western regions can learn from the experience of developed area,to absorb the advanced management system of developed areas,and introduce projects which have strong technical spillover effects or strong industry correlations to optimize the regional industrial structure,and to promote the comprehensive level of regional development by improving the environmental infrastructure and ecological environment level as ＂soft power＂.