中国―东盟地缘经济研究综述

Review on Geo-Economy between China and ASEAN

从经济学和地缘政治学的视角,运用文献资料法和比较分析法,综述了中国―东盟地缘经济的研究成果,总结了其研究特点。通过对文献梳理发现:1)从内容上看,现有研究侧重于对中国和东盟自由贸易区、区域经济合作以及经济竞合等方面的现状、问题和对策研究,缺乏对地缘经济发展规律和干预策略的检验研究;2)从方法上看,主要采用传统的定性和定量研究方法,对中国―东盟的地缘经济进行了叙述性和静态性的分析,缺乏动态的情景模拟与预测分析;3)从研究视角上看,主要采用经济学的视角,缺乏多学科交叉的综合视角。最后,提出未来的研究应采用经济学、地理学、国际关系学和计算科学等多学科交叉的视角,使用建模仿真和计算实验方法,重点探索中国―东盟地缘经济发展的演化过程、格局和机制,提出地缘经济演化的干预策略并进行效果评估。

From the perspectives of economy and geopolitics, based on literature study and comparative analysis, this paper reviews the literature of geo-economy between China and ASEAN, summarizes research characteristics, and points out research orientations. In term of research content, the current research focuses on the status quo, problems and countermeasures of CAFTA, regional economic competition and economic cooperation, while paying less attention to the evolution mechanism and intervention strategies. With regard to research perspective, the current research mainly takes economics perspective, rather than multidisciplinary one. As for research methods, the related research mainly adopts traditional qualitative and quantitative approach to do some narrative and static analysis of geo-economy between China and ASEAN, and lacks dynamic scenario simulation as well as analysis and forecast. Combing the approaches of modeling, simulation and computational experiments, future research should put emphasis on the evolution process, pattern and mechanism of geo-economy competition and cooperation between China and ASEAN, along with intervention strategies and effect evaluation, from the interdisciplinary perspectives of Geography, Economics, International Relations and Computer Science.