摘要
未来5年,中国食糖产量将经历一个减产周期,此后逐步回升;食糖消费量则将继续保持稳定增长的趋势;国内食糖产需缺口将长期存在,进口规模不断扩大;中长期来看,国内外食糖价格走势将趋于一致,受供求基本面影响,食糖价格有望步入缓慢回升通道。总体来看,未来5年国内食糖产业支持和调控政策的走向将对稳定国内食糖产量起到决定性作用。
In the next five years, China＇s sugar production will gradually increase after a cut cycle; sugar consumption will continue maintaining a steady growth; the gap between domestic sugar production and demand will exist for a long term and the import scale will expand continuously. In a medium-to long-term, sugar prices at home and abroad tend to change synchronously, rising slowly by the impact of supply and demand fundamentals. Overall, sugar industry and regulatory policy direction will play a decisive role in the stabilization of sugar production in China in the next five years.
出处
《农业展望》
2015年第9期12-17,共6页
Agricultural Outlook
关键词
食糖
产量
消费
供求
价格
自给率
政策
sugar
production
consumption
supply and demand
price
self-sufficiency rate
policy
