人力资本异质性和知识外溢对产业结构升级的影响研究——基于省级和区域面板数据的空间计量

The Effect of Human Capital Heterogeneity and Knowledge Spillover on Industrial Structure Upgrading: Spatial Measurement Based on Provincial and Regional Panel Data

运用2002—2012年数据,从省级层面和区域层面分析人力资本异质性、知识外溢等因素对产业结构升级的影响,所得主要结论如下:从省级层面看,人力资本异质性和以产业集聚衡量的知识外溢显著推动了产业结构升级,以研发存量和技术市场成交额衡量的知识外溢显著抑制了产业结构升级,但研发存量与人力资本相结合则有利于产业结构升级。从区域层面看,人力资本异质性和知识外溢对产业结构升级的影响存在区域差异。人力资本异质性显著有利于东部地区,不利于中部地区,对西部地区虽然有利但不显著。以研发存量衡量的知识外溢显著抑制了东部地区,有利于中部地区。以产业集聚衡量的知识外溢显著抑制了中部地区,对东部地区和西部地区的影响则不显著。以技术市场成交额衡量的知识外溢显著抑制了西部地区的产业结构升级,对东中部地区则没有显著影响。

Using the data from 2002 to 2012, this paper analyzes the effect of human capital heterogeneity and knowledge spillover on industrial structure upgrading at provincial level and regional level. Conclusions are as follows. At provincial level, human capital heterogeneity and knowledge spillover measured by industrial agglomeration significantly improve industrial structure upgrading, knowledge spillover measured by R＆D stock and technology market turnover restrains industrial structure upgrading, but the cimbination of R＆D stock and human capital is conducive to industrial structure upgrading. At regional level, there exists regional difference in the effect of human capital heterogeneity and knowledge spillover on industrial structure upgrading. Human capital heterogeneity is advantageous to the East, which is not conducive to the Middle, but is not significant in the West. Knowledge spiltover measured by R＆D stock restrains the East and improves the Middle. Knowledge spillover measured by industrial agglomeration significantly restrains the Middle, and the effect on the East and West are not significant. Knowledge spillover measured by technology market turnover blocks the West.