高校扩招如何影响大学毕业生收入——基于CHIPS微观数据的实证分析

The Effect of China's High Education Expansion on College Graduates' Income :An Empirical Analysis of CHIPS Data

运用2002年和2007年中国家庭收入调查项目(CHIPS)数据,采用倍差法进行实证检验,从生源质量、高等教育质量和毕业生供给三方面,比较分析高等教育扩招对大学毕业生收入的影响。结果表明:高等教育扩招导致大学毕业生收入下降约12.9%,且本科及以上学历收入下降幅度大于专科生,东部地区下降幅度大于中、西部,西部地区收入受扩招政策而提高。由此提出,要着力提升高等教育质量,积极引导大学毕业生就业等以发挥扩招政策对中国经济社会发展的积极作用。

Based on the data of the Chinese household income program(CHIPS) 2002 and 2007, this paper analyzes the effect of higher education expansion policy on college graduates' income by three variables, student quality, higher education quality and supply of college graduates by the difference-in-difference estimation. The result shows that high education expansion cut down the college graduates' income about 12.9%. However, the income of the graduates with bachelor's degree and above decline more than that of the junior college graduates, the income of the graduates in eastern coast area decline more than that of the graduates in the middle and western area, while the income of graduates in western area showed some increase somewhat. The policies such as better education quality and supports in graduates employment is a great significance in China to make most use of the high education expansion policy in social and economic development.