基于产业结构升级视角的住宅价格影响分析——以江苏省为例

Analysis of Impact on House Prices Based on Perspective of Industrial Structure Upgrade——A Case Study of Jiangsu Province

为了明确产业结构升级对房价的支撑作用,从住房价格变化中第三产业发展的影响及其影响机理的视角,利用2005~2013年江苏省七个主要城市的面板数据,实证检验了第三产业发展对于住房价格的影响。结果表明：第三产业的发展程度对住宅价格有显著的正向影响,对住宅价格上涨的贡献率为27.29%;城镇居民收入水平对房价的影响较大,而当年土地价格并不对当年房价产生显著影响。

To figure out the support effect of the upgrade of the industrial structure to house price,the panel data of seven major cities of Jiangsu province from 2005 to 2013 were used,the influence of development of the third industry on house prices and its path was studied. It turned out that the degree of the development of the third industry had significant positive influence on house prices. In the empirical test of seven major cities of Jiangsu province,the contribution rate of the third industry development degree was 27. 29%. Urban residents income level also had a relative large impact on house price.While the land price in current year did not affect the house price significantly.