我国地区信息化与工业化融合发展水平的空间计量研究

Spatial Measurement of Regional Information and Industrialization in China

对我国两化融合空间相关性的计量分析表明,地区两化融合呈现出显著的空间正相关性,彼此之间相互促进。同时,全国范围的空间计量分析表明,两化融合空间滞后效应显著,信息产业、自主创新和中介服务具有明显的促进作用,人才储备和政府扶持的影响则不够明显。东、中、西部的对比分析表明,东部地区空间滞后效应显著,自主创新、中介服务的正向影响突出,人才储备则成为发展的瓶颈,信息产业的带动能力不再明显,政府扶持的影响不够显著。中西部地区空间滞后效应不显著,信息产业成为唯一显著驱动因素。

Based on regional development level of integration of informatization and industrialization,this paper analyzes thespatial autocorrelation and influence factors of integration by spatial statistics and spatial econometrics.The spatialautocorrelation analysis indicates that regional level of integration has a significant positive spatial correlation.Spatialeconometric analysis indicates that regional level of integration shows a significant spatial lag effect in the whole country.Information industry,independent innovation and intermediary service have significant promoting effect,but talent reserveand government support has non-significant effect.Based on the comparison analysis of eastern,middle and western China,we found that spatial lag effect is significant in eastern China and it is not significant in middle and western China.Independent innovation and intermediary service have a significant positive effect,talent reserve becomes the bottleneck ofdevelopment,information industry has no obvious driving ability and government support is non-significant in eastern China.But information industry is the only significant influence factor in middle and western China.