中国持续经济增长的阶段性动力解析与比较被引量：25

Analyzing and Comparing Periodic Power of China's Continuous Economic Growth

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摘要本文从一般生产要素、结构因素和体制因素三个层次来考察新中国成立以来的中国经济增长,根据数据特征利用计量方法对时间序列划分时间段,并根据自相关检验结果采用Prais-Winsten AR(1)或最小二乘法(OLS)分别进行回归,从而解释各个时间段不同的经济增长动力机制。此外,本文还重点分析了各阶段人均GDP、结构指数与体制指数之间的相互关系。最后,根据阶段性动力的研究结论对中国下阶段经济增长提出一些积极的建议。 From general production factors, structural factors and institutional factors, this paper examines China＇s economic growth since the founding of new China. According to the features of data, the paper divides the time sequence into periods by the method of measurement and does empirical test to explain different growth mechanisms in each period. In addition, this article also analyzes the relationship among per capita GDP, structural index and institutional index. In the end, according to research of periodic power, this paper puts forward some positive suggestions for next phase of China＇s economic growth.

作者靳涛陶新宇

机构地区厦门大学经济学院经济研究所

出处《数量经济技术经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2015年第11期74-89,共16页 Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

基金国家社科基金重大项目"经济持续健康发展与收入倍增计划的实现路径研究"(13&ZD029)的资助

关键词经济增长动力机制体制结构 Economic Growth Dynamic Mechanism Institution Structure

分类号 C53 [社会学] E61 [军事—军事理论]

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