摘要
能源、经济、环境、生态(4E)复合系统存在相互影响、相互制约的发展关系,4E的协调发展是生态文明建设与社会可持续发展最终目的。本研究在4E四元发展的博弈性、协同性分析的基础上,本着以人为本的原则,利用层次分析法,构建了4E发展评价指标体系,并采用协调系数法计算出4E系统之间的综合耦合协调度。通过实证研究定量化的表达4E系统协调发展状况,为生态文明建设与4E协调发展决策的制定和选择提供参考依据。
There are complicatedly interdependent and interactional relationships in Energy-Economy- Environment-Ecology(4E) compounded system, and the coordinated development of 4E system is the final goal of sustainable social development. In this paper, on the basis of game theory and collaborative analysis of the development of 4E system, and according to the people-oriented principle, we construct a distinct evaluation index system of 4E development by Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP), and work out the coupling coordination degree of 4E system by coordination coefficient method. Through empirical study, the coordinating evaluation model and the corresponding calculating method can quantitatively express the status of coordination development of 4E system, which provides the decision-making basis to coordinated 4E development.
出处
《中国工程科学》
北大核心
2015年第8期54-61,共8页
Strategic Study of CAE
基金
中国工程院重大咨询项目"生态文明建设若干战略问题研究"(2013-ZD-11)
关键词
生态文明
4E
复合系统
协调发展
评价指标
ecological civilization
4E
compounded system
coordination development
evaluation index system