“丝绸之路经济带”与欧亚经济联盟:比较分析与关系前景

Silk Road Economic Belt and Eurasian Union:Comparative Analysis and Prospect of their Relationship

"丝绸之路经济带"与欧亚经济联盟,都是欧亚跨地区发展的方式;都以发展经济、提高民生、内外联通、互联互通为主要内容;都包括亚欧中心地带——中亚和俄罗斯;都有历史和现实基础,具有陆权思维;两者分别是中俄的国家大战略,有利于促进亚欧合作和南南合作;都受到交通基础设施、三股势力的掣肘;都受到乌克兰危机的负面影响;美国均不支持;两者发展都任重而道远。同时,由于两者性质、目标、推动者、参与者不同,其手段、范围、影响、受益者也有所不同,并存在资源、吸引力、影响力等方面的竞争。两者可以并存不悖、优势互补,形成建设性的伙伴关系,从而对接合作,相得益彰。合作可以大于竞争,机遇可以大于挑战。中俄从宏观的国际战略协作,到具体的地区战略对接,是两者有望并能够成功合作的基础。

Silk Road Economic Belt and Eurasian Union both adopt trans-Eurasia as approach todevelopment. They are both aimed at developing economy, improving people's livelihood, and creatinginterconnections home and abroad. They both involve Eurasian heartland, which includes Central Asiaand Russia. They are both based on history and reality, which emphasize on land power; respectivegrand strategy of China and Russia, which would promote Eurasian cooperation and South-South coop-eration; handicapped by inconvenient transport infrastructure and the three vicious forces. They bothhave been negatively affected by Ukraine crisis; do not receive support from the US; have a longway to go. Besides, they are different in method, scope, influence, participant and beneficiary due totheir differences in nature, aim and driver; facing with both risks and challenges. Indeed, there existscompetition between China and Russia in aspects of resources, attraction, influence, etc. However, co-operation and opportunity could be more than competition and challenge. These two countries couldform the constructive partnership by creating complementary interactions. Both international strategiccoordination at the macro level and regional strategic coordination specifically could lay a solid foun-dation for successful Sino-Russian cooperation.