我国与中亚五国双边贸易成本的测度与分析

The Measuring and Analyzing of the Bilateral Trade Cost Between China and the Five Mid-Asian Countries

中亚五国处于"新丝绸之路经济带"的中心,是我国向西发展区域经贸合作的关键环节。我国虽已成为中亚五国主要的出口市场和进口来源地,但双边贸易呈现贸易总额小,产品单一,主要依赖能源资源、附加价值低的特点。文章采用Novy(2007)提出的改进了的引力方程,测算了2000-2013年我国与中亚各国的双边贸易成本。研究发现:我国与中亚各国双边贸易成本历年来有小幅下降,但仍高于亚洲其他地区,其中,哈萨克斯坦与我国双边贸易成本最低,乌兹别克斯坦最高。

The five Mid‐Asian countries are located in the important position of the “new silk road economic belt” .By using the historical statistic data ,this paper analyzed the bilateral trade between China and the five Mid‐Asian countries .The result shows ,although China has become the main export market and import sources of the five Mid‐Asian countries ,but the total bilateral trade volume is small ,and the main products are energy related .Then ,this paper used the improved gravity equation and calculated the cost of bilateral trade between China and Mid‐Asian countries from 2000 to 2013 .The results show that the cost of bilateral trade between China and Mid‐Asian countries have fallen slightly .