中美兼容共存:东亚的核心政治架构

Inclusiveness and Co-existence of China and the US: East Asia's Core Political Structure

快速崛起的中国和美国在东亚区域的结构性矛盾将长期存在,美强中弱的大格局在中短期内不会明显改变。东亚区域内所有重大问题无不受此矛盾的制约,东亚各国的外交政策也均会受到中美关系的影响。东亚新的国际秩序和安全架构正在重组和形成中。中美之间"兼容共存"将成为东亚区域的核心政治架构。中美和平相处、互利共赢及其可能达到的合作水平和深度,将对东亚区域安全的发展形态和实际进度,产生至关重要的影响,也是中国在21世纪的第二个十年甚至更长的时间内能否取得和平建设的安定环境的重要因素。

The structural contradiction between the rapidly rising China and the US in the East Asian region will exist for long, and the general pattern that the US maintains an edge over China will not change significantly in the short term. All the major issues in East Asia are subject to the restriction of this contradiction, and the foreign policy of the East Asian countries is also influenced by the Sino-US relations. East Asia＇s new international order and security architecture is being restructured and created. The ＂inclusiveness and coexistence＂ of China and the US will become the core political structure of the East Asian region. The peaceful coexistence and mutually beneficial relations between China and the US, as well as their high-level and deep win-win cooperation, will have a vital impact on the development pattern and actual progress of the regional security in East Asia, and are the important factors which have a bearing on whether China can enjoy a stable environment for its peaceful development in the second decade of the 21st century or even for a longer period of time.