华北电力大学综合能耗预测分析研究

Forecast Analysis of Comprehensive Energy Consumption in North China Electric Power University

为了预测未来四年华北电力大学的综合能耗,在分析能耗历史数据特点的基础上,运用量化分析模型方法,先选取灰色预测和线性回归两种单一基础预测模型,然后基于均方误差(MSE)建立综合能耗(TCE)组合预测模型,最终给出了较好精度的预测结果,用于指导节能降耗工作。

In order to predict the comprehensive energy consumption of North China Electric Power University in the future four years,this paper analyzes the historical data characteristics of the energy consumption and utilizes the quantitative analysis model.By using the grey forecast model and linear regression forecast model,as well as the comprehensive energy consumption combination forecast model based on the mean square error（MSE）,it finally achieves better precision of prediction results,providing guidance on the energy saving work.