出口转型升级:政府补贴是一项有效的政策吗?

The Transformation and Upgrading of Export:Is Government Subsidy an Effective Policy?

为了探讨我国政府对企业的生产性补贴政策是否促进了我国出口结构的优化,为我国在WTO规则下制定合理的补贴政策,提升出口产品竞争力以推动出口转型升级方面提供一定的参考。本文以我国制造业企业1999-2007年数据为基础,首先研究了政府补贴在行业、地区以及是否参与出口活动的分布状况,然后通过计量模型检验政府补贴对行业出口结构的影响。研究表明,政府补贴不但促进了中国企业出口品复杂度和出口品质量的提升,同时推动出口结构优化,由此说明政府补贴是一项推动出口转型升级的有效政策,并且这个结果具有相当的稳健性。

In order to explore whether government subsidies to enterprises promote China＇s export structure optimization and provide references for our government to formulate trade subsidy policies and promote the competitiveness of the exporting products under WTO rules. This paper uses the method of empirical analysis to explore the relationship between the government subsidy and the export sophistication. Based on the 1999~2007 panel data of manufacturing enterprises, it constructs the econometric model to make an empirical analysis. The paper firstly calculates the export sophistication by PRODY index method,and then uses the basic model to make econometric regression. Through the econometric regression model, it draws the conclusion that government subsidy really can promote the export sophistication and optimize the export structure, which means that government subsidy is an effective policy.