基于故障树的建筑工程物流信任风险评价

Evaluation of Logistics Trust Risk in Construction Projects Based on Fault Tree

在分析建筑工程项目物流特点的基础上,提出了基于故障树模型的建筑工程物流信任风险的分析法,并在计算相关概率时引入三角模糊数理论,利用该方法对影响建筑工程物流信任系统的风险因素进行分类并定量化计算,找出对整个系统影响较大的风险因素,为维护参与建筑工程物流相关企业间的信任关系以及风险管理提供理论指导作用,从而达到改善建筑工程物流的运作环境、预防和化解信任风险的目的。

In this paper, on the basis of an analysis of the characteristics of the logistics process of the construction projects, we proposed the analytic process of the logistics trust risk in construction projects based on the fault tree model, then introduced the triangular fuzzy number theory to calculate the relevant probability, and then used it to classify and quantify the risk factors influencing the logistics trust risks of the construction projects to identify the most significant ones.