能源视角下的云南省工业结构与增长分析

Industrial Structure and Growth Analysis of Yunnan Province from the Perspective of Energy

计算云南省工业各行业1999—2012年的能源强度均值,对能源强度均值进行聚类分析,将云南省工业行业依据能源强度大小分成五大类,求出能源视角下云南省工业在考察期内各期结构变化速度、结构偏离度和结构高级化,并进行解析。通过回归分析得出云南省工业增加值增长率与能源视角下的工业结构变化速度,结构偏离度和结构高级化程度呈负相关,其中结构高级化、结构偏离度与云南工业增加值增长率之间的相关性显著,认为云南省工业发展应在可持续下侧重较低能源强度产业的发展。

First all kinds of industrial industries＇ energy intensity means were calculated out in Yunnan Province from 1999 to 2012. Yunnan Prov- ince industrial industries were divided into five categories according to the size of the energy intensity means by clustering analysis. Then the industrial structure change speed, structure deviation degree, and structure advance degree through whole research period were calculated out, all results were analyzed. Last regression analysis was used to analyze the relationship between industrial added value growth rate and the industrial structure change speed, structure deviation degree, structure advance degree under the energy intensity perspective. The results showed all the negative relationship be- tween industrial added value growth rate and the industrial structure change speed, structure deviation degree, structure advance degree. And the nega- tive relationship between structure deviation degree, structure advance degree and industrial added value growth rate showed significantly higher. Aim- ing at the regression result, Yunnan Province industry development should pay more attention to the low energy intensity industries under the sustain- able balance development style.