中国政府卫生支出与财政支出的动态关系研究

Research on Relation between Government Health Expenditure and Fiscal Expenditure

使用统计软件Eviews 6.0在政府卫生支出与财政支出之间建立协整模型,实证分析发现:长期地,政府卫生支出与财政支出之间存在稳定的均衡关系,但表现为缺乏弹性;短期地,国家财政支出的增长并不直接带来政府卫生支出的增长;在0.1的显著性水平下,政府在财政支出的增减是政府卫生支出增减的格兰杰因果原因。减轻居民疾病经济负担,关键是提高政府卫生支出比重,建立政府卫生支出增长的长效机制。政府特别是中央政府应切实承担主要责任,加大对欠发达地区的财政卫生转移支付力度。因为医疗卫生属于公共产品,投资居民健康可以拉动经济增长。

According to the theory of cointegration, using statistical software, we carried out the research on the two variables between government health expenditure and financial expenditure. The results showed that there was a stable equilibrium relationship between government health expenditure and financial expenditure in the long term, but with weak elasticity. The growth of fiscal expenditure did not necessarily lead to the growth of health expenditure in a short period of time. The government current health expenditure was affected only by government health expenditure of the last year. At O. 1 significance level, the changes of government fiscal expenditure directly affected the government health expenditure. Investing residents＇ health can speed up economic growth. Health care belongs to public product which should be subsidized by the governments espeeially the central government. Moreover, the governments should increase financial health transfer payment to the undeveloped areas.