2015年国内稻米市场形势分析及展望

Domestic Rice Market Situation Analysis and Outlook in 2015

进入2015年,在国家政策性稻谷持续拍卖、终端需求持续低迷及新粮上市导致供应压力增大等综合影响下,国内稻米价格从平稳略涨转为偏弱走势。进入四季度,新季中晚稻收购成为市场的主要关注点,由于市场需求难以有效回暖,而供应进入季节性宽松时期,国内稻米市场下行压力增大,托市收购将成为市场的主要支撑因素。但主产区仓容压力加大及收购主体对粮食质量要求更加严格,预计2015年新产中晚籼稻、粳稻托市收购规模或将少于往年,托市收购结束后市场价格可能将呈下跌走势。

Enter 2015, at the national rice policy continued auction end demand continues to slump and new grain market led to increased pressure in supply combined effects, domestic rice prices turned weak trend from smooth edged. Entering the fourth quarter, the acquisition of the new season in late become a major focus of the market, as the market demand is difficult to effectively pick up, while the supply of seasonal easing into the period, increasing downward pressure on domestic rice market, prop acquisition will become the main supporting factor in the market. But by the main producing areas and the acquisition of the main pressure to increase storage capacity for food quality requirements more stringent, new production this year is expected in late indica rice, japonica prop scale acquisitions or will be less than in previous years, prop up the market after the acquisition of market prices may show a downtrend.