国民经济安全视角下房地产泡沫治理研究

Research on Governance of Real Estate Bubble from the Perspective of National Economic Security

房地产业对国民经济的增长有着至关重要的作用。作为资金密集型产业,房地产业与国民经济安全有着密不可分的关系。中国房地产业作为国民经济的支柱产业,产业相关度高,带动性强,与其他行业以及人民生活联系密切,故其发展态势关系到整个国民经济的稳定发展和国民经济安全。与此相对应的是房地产业作为周期性消费品,又具有波动较大和变化多端等固有特征,所以政府通过宏观调控政策平抑或减缓房地产周期波动带来的不利影响,防止房地产市场供求关系过大波动,通过促进房地产市场健康和稳定的发展推动中国经济的快速发展。但是,随着房地产业的快速发展,房地产热引起社会各界对房地产泡沫的广泛关注。若房地产业出现过度增长、脱离实际经济基础的支撑,则有可能引发房地产泡沫,威胁金融体系的安全,进而极大地危害整个国民经济安全。基于此,本文对房地产泡沫进行全方位研究,关注房地产市场泡沫与国民经济安全的关系,测度中国房地产的泡沫程度,提出治理房地产市场泡沫的对策建议,很有价值,也很有意义。

It is well known that the real estate industry has played a vital role in the growth of national economy. As a capital-intensive industry, the real estate industry is correlated with the national economic security. As a pillar industry of our national economy, the real estate industry of China is closely connected with other industries and the living conditions of our people with its high industrial correlation and strong driving force. Therefore, the development situation of the real estate will relate the stable development of our whole national economy and our national economic security. In contrast, the real estate, as a cyclical consumer goods, is also characterized with violent fluctuation and much uncertainty inherently. Therefore, the government, through macroeconomic control policy, has stabilized and retarded the adverse effect from periodic fluctuations of the real estate in order to prevent its excessive fluctuation of supply-and-demand relationship. In one word, our government will promote the rapid development of Chinese economy through promoting the healthy and stable development of the real estate market. However, with the rapid development of real estate, the real estate hot has aroused wide concern from all sectors of society about the real estate bubble. The possible excessive growth and weakening support from practical economic foundation will lead to the real estate bubble, which will threaten the financial system security and then will extremely endanger the security of our whole national economy. Therefore, this paper will study the .real estate bubble extensively, pay close attention to the relationship between real estate market bubble and national economic security, and estimate the real estate bubble in China so as to put forward the countermeasures about the real estate market bubble, which is very valuable and significant.