中国服务贸易本地市场效应研究——基于发达国家和发展中国家视角

Study on the Home Market Effects of Chinese Service Trade——Based on the Perspective of Developed and Developing Countries

文章利用系统广义矩估计法,基于1992-2012年跨国面板数据,实证发现:第一,需求规模作用的本地市场效应均有利于中国服务出口到发达国家和发展中国家,其促进了中国对两类国家的传统服务与非生产性服务出口,是中国对发展中国家服务出口的主要原因,也是中国对发展中国家传统服务与非生产性服务出口的主要原因;第二,劳动力比较优势是中国对发达国家服务出口的主要原因,但其未显著促进中国对发展中国家服务出口,其促进了中国对发达国家的各类服务出口,且是中国对发达国家传统服务与非生产性服务出口的主要原因;第三,需求结构作用的本地市场效应均未显著促进中国对两类国家服务出口,其不利于中国对两类国家的传统服务与非生产性服务出口,有利于中国对两类国家的新兴服务与生产性服务出口;第四,相对劳动力比较优势,需求规模和需求结构作用的本地市场效应是中国对两类国家新兴服务与生产性服务出口的主要原因。

Based on panel data from 1992 to 2012, the article using the System GMM method empirical found that first, the home market effect of demand scale has promoted China＇s service exports to developed countries and the developing countries, it has promoted Chinese traditional service and non productive service to developed and developing countries, it is the main reason for China＇s service exports to developing coun- tries, and it is also the main reason for Chinese traditional service and non productive service exports to devel- oping countries ; Second, the comparative advantage of labor is still the main influence factor of Chinag service exports to developed countries, but it does not significantly promote China~ service exports to developing coun- tries, it has promoted all kinds of service export to developed countries, and it is the main reason for Chinese traditional service and non productive service export to developed countries; Third, the home market effect of demand structure does not significantly promote Chinas service exports to developed and developing countries; it is not conducive to Chinese traditional service and non productive service export to developed countries and developing countries, it is conducive to Chinese emerging service and production service export to developed and developing countries; Fourth, relative to labor comparative advantage, the home market effect of demand scale and demand structure is the main reason for Chinese emerging service and production service export to developed and developing countries.