区域人类社会财富估算初步研究——以江苏省为例

Preliminary Research of Wealth Estimates:A Case Study in Jiangsu Province

依据世界银行提出的人类社会财富评价体系,结合江苏经济社会发展特征及综合有关财富评价方法,从自然资本、人造资本和人力资本三方面对江苏省的财富存量做出较为全面的评估,一定程度上纠正了现行的GDP评价体系,也对现行的资本存量评估做了有意义的补充。测算结果显示,人力资本所占比例高达69.1%,是占比最大的资本类型;人均总资本在苏南地区呈现高水平集聚,在苏北地区呈现低水平集聚,人均自然资本分布规律则大致相反;江苏省财富结构与中高收入国家比较接近,但人力资本所占比例比高收入国家低12%,其资本结构与中等发达国家相比仍有一定的差距。据此,从建立人类社会财富评价体系、建立人力资源强省等角度提出了相应的对策和建议。

The wealth stock in Jiangsu Province was measured from the three aspects of natural capital, produced assets and human capital under the World Bank＇ s structure of wealth estimates.This estimate system corrects a defect of GDP to some extent. Of the three kinds of capital stock, human capital constitutes the largest proportion of capital types with a proportion of 69.1%. By spatial analysis, wealth per capita sees a high level of agglomeration in South Jiangsu and a low one in the north while concentration of natural capital per capita takes on the opposite trend.The composition of wealth in Jiangsu Province is similar to that of the upper-middle-income countries, but the proportion of human capital is 12% lower than that of the higher income countries. There remains an apparent gap between Jiangsu and moderately developed countries. Finally, some suggestions and strategies were proposed from the perspective of constructing a wealth estimates system and promoting human capital in Jiangsu Province.