我国节能减排政策目标的有效性分析——基于1052条节能减排政策的研究

An Analysis on the Effectiveness of Policy Objectives of Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction in China—— Based on the Study of 1052 Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction Policies

文章从政策力度和政策目标两个维度对我国1997-2013年节能减排政策进行量化,探究了不同政策目标的演变趋势及其节能、减排和经济效果。结果发现,我国政府自1997年以来逐渐增强对节能减排政策目标的重视,但各政策目标的重视状况明显不同,其演变的核心内在动力来自于中央政府、各有关部委及企业等利益相关者之间相互博弈的理性选择,且各政策目标对节能、减排和经济效果的影响存在显著的方向性差异。最后,从优化相关政策目标、完善政策目标应用推广领域和加强不同节能减排政策目标间的协同推进等方面提出了政策建议。

On the basis of quantifying energy conservation and emission reduction policies in China during 1997 to 2013 from two dimensions of policy efforts and policy objectives,this paper studies the evolution trend of China’s energy conservation and emission reduction policy objectives,and their performances of energy conservation,emission reduction and economic growth. The results show that Chinese government has paid more and more attention to the policy objectives of energy conservation and emission reduction since 1997. However,the importance attached to different policy objectives are significantly different,because the core intrinsic evolution motivation is from the rational choice of game results among the central government,relevant ministries and enterprises as well as other stakeholders. Moreover,the effects of different policy objectives on the results of energy conservation,emission reduction and economic growth have significant discrepancies in orientation. In the end,this paper puts forward policy recommendations from optimizing relevant policy objectives,improving the application and promotion of policy objectives and strengthening synergy promotion of different policy objectives ,etc..