生产性服务业与制造业融合发展与行业差异研究——基于浙江的实证分析

Industry differences and integration development of productive services industry and manufacturing industry: based on the empirical analysis of Zhejiang

利用1990-2014年浙江制造业和生产性服务业及其各行业统计数据,通过建立VAR模型对制造业和生产性服务业及其各行业融合发展水平进行了实证分析。研究结果表明:目前浙江生产性服务业与制造业已经出现了相互融合发展的趋势,但融合水平偏低;同时,浙江生产性服务业内部各行业由于发展水平及行业特性不同与制造业的融合水平也存在着差异,以信息计算机业为代表的现代生产性服务业和制造业的融合水平偏低,而以交通运输业为代表的传统生产性服务业和制造业融合水平较高。据此,提出了转变制造业发展方向、推动制造业中服务业的分离、加快发展现代生产性服务业、坚持"双轮"驱动的发展理念等对策建议。

Based on relevant industrial data from 1990 to 2014, the paper makes an empirical analysis on the interactions development relation of producer services industry and manufacturing industry in Zhejiang by VAR model. The study reveals that ： at present, Zhejiang＇ s producer services industry and manufacturing industry have the trend of integration but in a low level. Meanwhile, due to the different developing levels and characteristics of each producer services industry,their integration levels with manufacturing industry are different. The integration level between modern producer services industry（ Computer services industry as a typical one）and manufacturing industry integration level is lower, while integration level between traditional producer services industry （Transport storage services industry as a typical one） and manufacturing industry integration level is higher. Accordingly, this article puts forward to some suggestions of transforming the direction of the manufacturing industry development, promoting the separation of services from manufacturing industry, speeding up the development of modern producer services industry and adhering to the ＂bi-engine＂ development strategy.