中国建筑业能源碳排放环境库兹涅茨曲线与影响脱钩因素分析

Analysis on Carbon Emission Environmental Kuznets Curve and Decoupling Factors in the China's Construction Industry

为研究建筑业碳排放与经济增长之间的关系及影响其弹性脱钩的主要因素,建立了建筑业碳排放库兹涅茨曲线和弹性脱钩模型,研究中国建筑业人均碳排放与人均GDP之间的关系。结果表明:中国建筑业碳排放库兹涅茨曲线近年来呈"U"型右侧上升趋势,暂未符合碳排放与经济增长呈倒"U"型曲线关系的库兹涅茨假说;产业价值创造和减排弹性脱钩是实现碳排放与经济发展脱钩的主要影响因素。

To explore the relationship between carbon emission and economic development in the construction industry, the paper established carbon Kuznets curve and decoupling model for this sector, in which factors influencing elastic decoupling were examined. Empirical study conducted shows a U-shaped curve, and industrial value creation ability and carbon emission reduction are the main decoupling factors.