条件概率分布与巴格达的贼

The conditional probability distribution and the Thief of Baghdad

文章通过求巴格达的贼的问题,引入条件概率分布,条件数学期望和全数学期望公式。随后利用这些公具,圆满地解决了巴格达的贼问题,旨在帮助学生化解这一数学难点。

In this paper, the conditional probability distribution, the conditional expectation and the Law of total expectation are int roduced first, and then solves the Thief of Baghdad problem completely. This article is designed to help students to resolve this mathem atic difficulty.