我国三大经济圈之间的经济溢出效应实证分析

An Empirical Study on Spillover Effect of Three Economic Circle

运用Granger因果检验和脉冲响应函数,分析了我国三大都市经济圈之间的经济溢出效应。结果表明,珠三角经济圈对长三角和京津冀经济圈产生了很强的正溢出效应,长三角经济圈对其他两区域有一定的正溢出效应,京津冀经济圈对珠三角和长三角的经济增长则呈现波动起伏的态势。这一结论揭示了我国三大都市经济圈之间经济增长的关系,为促进区域经济协调发展提供了启示。

This paper uses Granger causality test and impulse response function to analyze the spillover effects of three metropolitan economic circles of China.The results show that the Pearl River Delta economic circle has a significant positive spillover effect on the economic circles of Yangtze River Delta,Beijing and Tianjin,and the Yangtze River Delta economic circle has a certain spillover effect on the other two regions;and that the economic growth of the economic circles of Beijing,Tianjin and the Pearl River Delta and the Yangtze River Delta economic circle,tend to fluctuate.This conclusion reveals the economic growth relationship among the three metropolitan economic circles,which provides the inspiration for Chinese regional economic development.