气候变化背景下对巴彦浩特市实施弹性供暖的分析与建议

Analysis and Suggestions on the Implementation of Elasticity Heating of Bayanhot under the Background of Climate Change

文章利用巴彦浩特1954—2013年逐日平均气温资料,采用数理统计等方法,参照采暖供热相关规范,对巴彦浩特地区采暖期间平均温度、初终日、采暖天数、采暖期度日值的年际、年代际变化规律进行分析。结果表明：1954—2013年巴彦浩特地区采暖期变化趋势为初日推后,终日提前;采暖期天数、采暖期度日值呈显著减小趋势;气候变暖背景下,巴彦浩特实施弹性供暖以采暖期天数变化估计可比目前实际供暖方式节约采暖能耗7%～20%。建议巴彦浩特地区可采取弹性供暖的方式,合理规划,以达到节能减排目的。

Using the 1954-2013 daily mean air temperature data of Bayanhot, Using mathematical statistics and other methods, Reference to related specifications of heat supply, the interannual and interdecadal variation rule of average temperature,, the begin- ning and ending of heat supply date days, heating days and the degree daily value in Bayanhot were analyzed. The results showed that the change trend of heating period in Bayanhot from 1954 to 2013 years was that the first day of heat supply was hysteretic, the last day of heat supply was advanced. The heat supply days and degree daily value were reductive obviously. After elasticity heating, the heating energy consumption was reduced 7%～20% than present heating pattern in the estimation method of days. This article suggested that Bayanhot should adopt elasticity heating method, reasonable planning to achieve energy-saving emission reduction purposes.