农民工迁移对新型城镇化的驱动效应及区域差异研究

A Research of Driving Effects and Regional Diversity of New-type Urbanization by Migrant Workers' Migration

首先运用"农民工城市沉淀曲线"从理论上说明农民工迁移对新型城镇化的驱动效应及阶段性差异。然后以全国30个省(市、区)为数据样本,运用Eviews软件实证分析农民工迁移对新型城镇化的驱动效应及在各地区的差异,结果显示:这种效应就全国来说较弱,但在区域表现上有差异,即在东部不显著而在中西部非常显著。差异的原因就在于各地区"农民工城市沉淀曲线"的发展阶段有差异。据此,文章最后更具针对性地提出了东中西部差别化的农民工迁移及新型城镇化政策建议。

Firstly,the article explained the driving effect of migrant workers＇ migration to new-type urbanization and periodic differences by using a precipitation curve of rural migrant workers in urban theoretically. Then the driving effects and diversity of migration to new-type urbanization was demonstrated by the datas from 30 provinces（cities, districts） in china and a variety of methods of Eviews empirically. The results show the effect isn＇t significant from a national point of view;while regional diversity indicates that isn＇t significant in the East and on the contrary in the Midwest. The main reason is that each region has periodic differences in the curve. Finally,the article concludes with some differential proposals about eastern, central and western migrant workers＇ migration and new-type urbanization specifically.