辽宁省出口贸易的多因素分析

Multiple Factors Analysis of Export Trade in Liaoning Province

为了更好的发展辽宁省出口贸易,运用计量经济学的计量方法以及E-views软件,对辽宁省出口额、辽宁省地区生产总值、人民币汇率(人均年平均数,对美元)、居民消费价格指数、城镇新增固定资产进行回归分析,并且对模型的时间序列平稳性、多重共线性、异方差以及自相关进行检验。得出最终模型,分析表明居民消费价格指数、人民币汇率对产品出口具有很高的相关性,其次是地区生产总值,城镇新增固定资产也对辽宁出口贸易产生影响。

In order to better development of export trade in Liaoning province,using econometric measurement method and E-views software,for exports and GDP of Liaoning province,Liaoning province,the RMB exchange rate（average per person per year,the dollar）,the consumer price index,the town of new fixed assets by regression analysis,and the model of time series stationarity,multicollinearity test,heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation.It is concluded that the final model,analysis shows that the consumer price index,the RMB exchange rate to the product export has a high correlation,followed by GDP,town of new fixed assets also impact on export trade in Liaoning.