摘要
交通方式选择预测是交通规划、交通管理政策制定的重要依据.通勤交通占城市交通出行的比例最大,其交通方式的选择行为直接影响着城市交通结构.以闽江学院教师通勤的交通方式选择为例,首先建立交通方式选择的评价指标体系,利用AHP确定各评价指标的权重.然后以三角模糊数的方式给出各交通方式各指标的语言评价值,采用TOPSIS方法对各交通方式进行评估排序,得出闽江学院教师通勤的交通方式选择预测结果,实例表明该方法简单有效.
Prediction of transportation modes choice plays a key role in transportation planning and transportation management policies. Commuting trip, the the structure of urban transportation. Taking commuting largest proportion of urban trip, directly affects to Minjiang University as example, a hierarchy structure of transportation mode choice was constructed with five criteria. The weights of criteria were determined firstly using AHP, and a prediction model of mode choice based on the fuzzy TOPSIS meth- od was proposed. The assessment value of criteria with respect to each alternative was given with linguis- tic terms by three experts, and a case was illustrated to achieve the prediction results of mode choice for faculties commuting and the results indicate that the methods are simple and effective.
出处
《闽江学院学报》
2015年第5期133-139,共7页
Journal of Minjiang University
基金
福建省中青年教师教育科研项目(JA14256
JA14251)
