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蒙特卡罗法在某公路边坡可靠性分析中的应用

Application of Monte Carlo Method in Reliability Analysis of A Highway Slope
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摘要 文章介绍了蒙特卡罗法的原理及模拟步骤,并采用该方法对某高速公路K146+300右边坡防护前后的稳定性进行了可靠性分析。计算结果表明,边坡的破坏概率由支护前的20.69%降为支护后的4.63%,边坡由低危险性提高至稳定,边坡加固措施合理有效。 This article introduced the principle and simulation step of Monte Carlo method,and used this method for the reliability analysis on the stability of the right slope at a highway K146+300before and after the protection.The results showed that the slope failure probability is reduced to 4.63% after the support from 20.69% before the support,increasing to the stabilized slope from low-risk slope,thus the slope rein-forcement measure is reasonable and effective.
作者 黄东 匡波
出处 《西部交通科技》 2015年第9期39-41,59,共4页 Western China Communications Science & Technology
关键词 公路 边坡 蒙特卡罗法 可靠性分析 破坏概率 应用 Highway Slope Monte Carlo method Reliability analysis Failure probability Application
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