边际人口密度法对人口城镇化路径的校核

Verification Of Urbanizing Population With Marginal Population Density Method

我国的新型城镇化进入到新的发展阶段,人口城镇化成为新型城镇化的核心内容。当前,我国人口城镇化落后于土地城镇化的现象普遍存在,针对人口城镇化在评价系统和方法上的缺失及中、微观层面研究的缺乏,文章尝试选取人—地时空变化的相关因子—边际人口密度,在借鉴国内外发达地区相关研究成果的基础上,提出以边际人口密度的线性方程校核人口城镇化的发展路径,并对人口城镇化预测模式进行评价,为城市规划中城镇化水平的预测提供理论上的依据和支撑。

Population urbanization has become the core of new urbanization. Presently population urbanization is at large lagging behind land urbanization, and the evaluation approach of population urbanization is needed. The paper chooses marginal population density factor that refl ects human-land relation, learns relevant experiences, puts forwards a linear equation approach, and provides theoretical support for population urbanization evaluation.