基于通达成本的机场可达性水平与客运规模关联性研究

Research on Relevance of Passenger Throughput and Airport Accessibility Based on Cost of Access

基于江苏省9大机场调查数据，建立基于通达成本的机场可达性模型，并利用logit模型量化各机场有效服务范围内旅客通达机场的可达性；同时采用2005～2014年各机场特征数据，利用面板数据模型研究机场旅客吞吐量与可达性、航线规模、地区经济水平等指标之间的关系．可达性水平分析结果显示，南部地区南京、无锡机场可达性最高，北部地区徐州、连云港机场可达性水平较低，差距接近30％；关联性分析显示可达性、航线数量、GDP、人均收入与旅客吞吐量具有显著相关性，其中可达性、人均收入对于第一级别机场影响程度高于第二级别机场，可达性水平每提升1％，机场旅客吞吐量会增加2．15％，而航线规模、GDP影响程度则相反，说明只有当机场发展到一定规模时，旅客才会更加关注机场通达时间、成本、舒适性等因素．

Based on nine bility accessible cost mo Jiangsu Province airportsp traffic survey data, this article established accessidel ,and used logit model to calibrate the airport passenger accessibility within the effective range of services around. At the same time, it used airports feature data in 2005 and 2014 and panel data model to promote the study on the relationship between the airport passenger throughput, accessibility, route of scale, regional economic level and other indicators. Judging from the level of accessibility, Nanjing, Wuxi Airport in southern areas is highest, and Lianyungang, Xuzhou airport in northern areas up to the lower level, and the gap is nearly 30%. Correlation analysis showed that accessibility, route number, GDP, per capita income and the passenger throughput with a significant correlation. The accessibility and per capita income＇s effect for the first level above the second level of the airport, while route scale, GDP impact is the opposite. When the development of the airport reaches a certain size, travelers will pay more attention to the airport around the time, cost, comfort and other factors, and airport passenger throughput will increase 2.15% with accessibility level enhanced by 1%.